UFC Middleweight Bout: Mark Munoz vs. Gegard Mousasi
Odds: ( +230 Munoz / -300 Mousasi )
Betting Pick: Mousasi
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In the main event of UFC Fight Night 41, heavy-handed wrestler Mark “The Filipino Wrecking Machine” Munoz will square off against feared veteran Gegard “The Dreamcatcher” Mousasi in a featured Middleweight bout. This is a very interesting style matchup because, while both guys have very dangerous striking, Munoz is a dominant wrestler while Mousasi has the more advanced submission game. Anything could happen on the feet, and while Munoz is better-equipped to secure takedowns, Mousasi is much more likely to find a way to end this fight on the ground.
Gegard Mousasi has been one of the more exciting and versatile Middleweights in the world for years now. A long-time veteran of DREAM, M-1, and Strikeforce, Mousasi has faced legit opponents as high up as Heavyweight. That experience fighting larger, stronger fighters will come in handy against Munoz, who is a bruising, physical wrestler who relies heavily on overpowering his opponents for takedowns. On the feet, both of these guys have the power to end this fight, but Mousasi is the much quicker and more technical striker. He has to be careful about leaving himself open for takedowns, but he should be able to beat Munoz to the punch consistently when they are trading shots.
Mark Munoz has cemented himself as a legitimate threat at 185 pounds with a mix of heavy-handed power punching, dominant wrestling, and effective top control. He isn’t the most technically proficient striker in the UFC, but he throws every punch with mean intentions and his power punches are all potential fight-enders. He is very skilled at using his strength and wrestling to physically control opponents, neutralize their offense, and set up takedowns. On the ground he is not a huge threat to finish but he can definitely do some damage with ground and pound. The big question mark for Munoz here is how well he can defend submissions, because if he tries to wrestle extensively, Mousasi will test him.
Ultimately, I think this matchup favors Mousasi. Munoz thrives on overpowering his opponents and mixing his takedowns in with his striking to keep them off balance. I think that Mousasi’s striking, though, is so much better than his that Munoz is going to have to be a little more careful and try to avoid over-committing on his takedown attempts. On the ground, it’s a long way from a guarantee that Munoz can control Mousasi and avoid getting swept or caught in a submission. Ultimately, I think this should be a competitive fight, but I expect Mousasi to scrape by with a narrow decision win.
Prediction: Gegard Mousasi by Decision.
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