UFC Lightweight Bout: Gray Maynard vs. Clay Guida
Odds: (-315 Maynard /+245 Guida )
Betting Pick: Maynard
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In the main event of the evening, Gray “The Bully” Maynard, coming off the first loss of his professional career, will look to get back in the win column against aggressive wrestling dynamo Clay “The Carpenter” Guida. Guida, known for his signature mane of curly hair and the breakneck pace of his fights, is one of the most aggressive and effective wrestlers in the Lightweight division, but Maynard is a world-class wrestler in his own right with punishing striking to go along with it. Guida, as good as he is, is going to have his hands full trying to force Maynard onto his back while avoiding his thudding power punches. If Guida wants to pull off an upset, he is going to have to show some huge strides in his boxing defense.
Clay “The Carpenter” Guida is one of the UFC’s most exciting and aggressive fighters. A long time veteran, Guida has carved out a niche for himself with great wrestling and top control, unstoppable cardio, and arguably the most aggressive fighting style in the sport. Guida is a great wrestler with a punishing top control game, and will keep shooting for takedowns nonstop until he succeeds. His boxing is very rudimentary and not overly powerful, but he does tend to pile on a very high volume of punches to compensate. Against Maynard, he is going to have to pick his shots much more carefully, because if he wades forward letting his hands go recklessly he is either going to get dumped on his back and pounded, or he is going to eat a huge haymaker and go to sleep.
Gray “The Bully” Maynard is clearly one of the UFC’s top Lightweights. He appears to have met his match in Frankie “The Answer” Edgar, but his potent mix of power punching and dominant wrestling make him one of the most effective and dangerous Lightweights in the world. As good as Maynard’s wrestling is, he has shown a distinct preference for keeping fights standing and letting his hands go, and in that regard Guida is the perfect opponent for him. Guida’s whole game plan is always to go for takedowns first and foremost, and his boxing is pretty ineffective, which means that Maynard can use his wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing and exploit his drastic striking advantage.
This is going to be a rough fight for Guida. Over the course of his career, one thing has remained true. Anyone he can outwrestle, he beats, and anyone he can’t outwrestle, he loses to. In that sense, Maynard is a nightmare opponent, because Guida just can’t outwrestle him and Maynard is way more dangerous on the feet. I think Guida will try to take Maynard down, fail repeatedly, and eventually get put down with punches. Maynard by T/KO.
Prediction: Gray Maynard by second round T/KO.
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