Pat Barry vs. Christian Morecraft Prediction

UFC Heavyweight bout:  Pat Barry vs. Christian Morecraft

Odds: (-170 Barry /+140 Morecraft )

Betting Pick: Barry

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In a featured Heavyweight bout, journeyman slugger Pat Barry will look to halt a two-fight skid against Christian Morecraft, who has been having struggles of his own. With Morecraft 1-2 in the UFC and Barry 1-3 in his last four fights, you have to figure these guys are fighting to stay on the roster, especially since UFC just folded Strikeforce’s Heavyweight division into their own. Both of these guys have power on their feet, but Barry is easily the better striker. Morecraft is more well-rounded, but he has an awful chin, so this might get ugly for him.

Pat “HD” Barry is a one-dimensional slugger with a lot of knockout power and not much else. He does throw effective kicks, especially to the legs, but for the most part he stands toe to toe with opponents and absorbs damage to throw haymakers. There is no denying that he has fight-ending power in his hands, but he has no ground game and his technique is sloppy and overly aggressive. He is still a better striker than Morecraft, though, so all he needs to do is keep himself from getting taken down and submitted and he should have enough to get back in the win column.

Christian Morecraft is a talented young Heavyweight with a fairly versatile skill set, but he’s not dominant at anything and he doesn’t handle adversity well at all. His striking is decently powerful, but no match for Barry’s, his technique is sloppy, and he tends to bumrush opponents with no rhyme or reason. He has fairly good wrestling and effective submissions, which he is going to have to use if he wants to survive this fight.

With both of these guys possibly fighting for their careers, they should at least show up motivated. On the feet Barry will chop Morecraft’s legs out from under him and destroy him with power punches. If Morecraft can get to the ground he has more than enough jiu-jitsu to submit Barry, but I don’t think Morecraft will be looking to exclusively grapple and I don’t think he’d be successful if he tried. I don’t think he has a match for Barry’s leg kicks or his punching power, and eventually his fragile chin gets exploited. Barry by T/KO.

Prediction: Pat “HD” Barry by first round T/KO.

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