UFC 123: Phil Davis vs. Tim Boetsch Prediction

UFC Light Heavyweight bout: Phil Davis vs. Tim Boetsch

Odds:  (-625 Davis /+425 Boetsch )

Betting Pick:  Davis

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In what promises to be an entertaining Light Heavyweight bout, IFL veteran Tim Boetsch will square off against former NCAA Division 1 National wrestling champion Phil Davis. Boetsch has had mixed results in the octagon, but is a very tough guy with effective Muay Thai and a good clinch game. Davis, for his part, is a physically gifted wrestler with good striking and submissions, so Boetsch is going to have his hands full here.

Tim Boetsch burst onto the UFC scene with an exciting win over David Heath in which he memorably threw Heath on his head like a ragdoll. Since then he has basically alternated wins and losses, but he is a dangerous opponent for anyone because he is a large, strong Light Heavyweight with very effective and versatile striking. The biggest impediment to his success is his cardiovascular conditioning, as he tends to gas out relatively quickly.

Phil Davis has no cardiovascular problems at all. A dominant wrestler with a stifling top game, good punching, great ground and pound, and effective submissions, Davis has it all. The only real question mark he brings into the ring is how well his chin will hold up, since it has never been sorely tested.

Honestly, it is unlikely that Boetsch will have much for Davis. He has a chance to do some damage in the standup, but it is unlikely that Davis will spend much time trading shots with him. I expect Davis to overwhelm Boetsch physically with his superior strength and wrestling, taking him down and working him over before finishing him once Boetsch gasses out. Davis by T/KO.

Prediction:  Phil “Mr Wonderful” Davis via first round T/KO.

To add a little excitement on fight night, you can bet on this fight at Sportsbook.com Odds.  They allow you to start with as little as $20, and you can bet on all of the fights for the night. Check out my review of Sportsbook here…